JTWC Issued: 2100 UTC 25 Oct 2025
The area of convection (invest 92A) previously located near 15.7N 66.8E is now located near 14.3N 65.7E, approximately 498 nm southwest of mumbai, India. Enhanced infrared satellite imagery (EIR) depicts a broad circulation with flaring convection associated with the low-level circulation center (LLCC). Environmental analysis reveals favorable conditions for development with low vertical wind shear (5-10 kts), moderate westward and equatorward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures (28-29 c). Global deterministic models depict a broad circulation with minimal development. Ensemble models show less of a signal of development than the previous runs but still depicts eventual gradual development.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1004 mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.